Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.231338 0.273639 0.318802 0.370330 0.427216 0.487835 0.557049
2024-10-20 0.170678 0.226702 0.290944 0.368942 0.459984 0.561856 0.683415
2024-10-27 0.133207 0.197808 0.276957 0.378420 0.502449 0.646706 0.824724
2024-11-03 0.106207 0.176057 0.267211 0.389926 0.546021 0.733498 0.971186
2024-11-10 0.085447 0.158156 0.259007 0.401024 0.588129 0.819102 1.118604
2024-11-17 0.064334 0.135136 0.240189 0.395270 0.606957 0.875398 1.231065
2024-11-24 0.050870 0.120667 0.230869 0.400429 0.638921 0.948124 1.364979
2024-12-01 0.038017 0.103898 0.215394 0.394652 0.654660 0.999309 1.471948
2024-12-08 0.026558 0.086149 0.195383 0.379609 0.655587 1.029791 1.551835
2024-12-15 0.021137 0.078828 0.191310 0.387805 0.688999 1.103887 1.689526
2024-12-22 0.014935 0.067349 0.178014 0.379864 0.697856 1.144030 1.782413
2024-12-29 0.012686 0.064919 0.180895 0.398030 0.745660 1.238658 1.949520
2025-01-05 0.009155 0.057425 0.173143 0.398226 0.766968 1.297810 2.071535
2025-01-12 0.006576 0.051306 0.167077 0.400588 0.791376 1.361692 2.201050
2025-01-19 0.005107 0.048179 0.166819 0.412978 0.831658 1.448968 2.364052
2025-01-26 0.003984 0.045628 0.167374 0.426654 0.874163 1.540049 2.533469
2025-02-02 0.003043 0.043084 0.167495 0.439359 0.915302 1.629742 2.702103
2025-02-09 0.001811 0.037217 0.158401 0.433787 0.926188 1.674916 2.808732
2025-02-16 0.001186 0.034029 0.155426 0.439616 0.955775 1.748054 2.955538
2025-02-23 0.000593 0.029212 0.146945 0.433665 0.965114 1.790767 3.059417
2025-03-02 0.000189 0.023519 0.134261 0.417744 0.956449 1.805638 3.123199
2025-03-09 0.000090 0.021854 0.133451 0.426560 0.990576 1.886101 3.282215
2025-03-16 0.000013 0.018203 0.125040 0.418134 0.993941 1.919047 3.372530